Alanyasporvs
Kocaelispor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alanyaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alanyaspor 0-0 Kocaelispor, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alanyaspor 1-2 Kocaelispor
Original prediction
Alanyaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.5% | 37.4% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 29.1% | 30.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 23.3% | 32.1% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Projected Score
Alanyaspor 0–0 Kocaelispor
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Alanyaspor
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Alanyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlanyasporLDWDW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KocaelisporLLWLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlanyasporKocaelispor
33.3Attack37.5
62.5Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
51.4Power53.1
0.85xG0.87