Alanyasporvs
Göztepe
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alanyaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alanyaspor 2-2 Göztepe
Original prediction
Alanyaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 42.1% | 48.3% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.3% | 25.7% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 29.6% | 26.0% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Alanyaspor
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Alanyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40