Alanyasporvs
Erzurumspor FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alanyaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK
Original prediction
Alanyaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 48.8% | 51.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.3% | 26.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.9% | 22.1% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Alanyaspor
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Alanyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60