GGOALVIO

Alanyaspor logoAlanyasporvsBaşakşehir logoBaşakşehir

COMPLETED

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/14/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Başakşehir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alanyaspor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Başakşehir are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Başakşehir hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Süper Lig, while Başakşehir holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Başakşehir

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Başakşehir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlanyasporDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BaşakşehirWLD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
AlanyasporBaşakşehir
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence62.3
33.3Form53.5
45.3Power56.1
1.09xG1.32
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