GGOALVIO

Turkey · U19 league · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alanyaspor U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Alanyaspor U19 4-0 Erzurumspor U19

Original prediction

Alanyaspor U19

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9546.2%47.7%1.6 pts
Draw3.4426.2%26.5%0.3 pts
Away3.2527.7%25.8%-1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Alanyaspor U19

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Alanyaspor U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alanyaspor U19WLDDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Erzurumspor U19LLLLL

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Alanyaspor U19Erzurumspor U19
27.8Attack38.9
66.7Defence0.0
33.3Form5.6
44.5Power19.5
2.04xG0.96
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