Alaniya Vladikavkazvs
Mashuk-KMV
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alaniya Vladikavkaz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-0 Mashuk-KMV, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-3 Mashuk-KMV
Original prediction
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.4% | 41.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 35.5% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.1% | 22.7% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0–0 Mashuk-KMV
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80