Alaniya Vladikavkazvs
Kaluga
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alaniya Vladikavkaz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-0 Kaluga, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 Kaluga
Original prediction
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.0% | 62.7% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.5% | 25.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 8.52 | 10.6% | 12.2% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Projected Score
Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1–0 Kaluga
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60