Alaniya Vladikavkazvs
FK Sokol Saratov
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alaniya Vladikavkaz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-0 FK Sokol Saratov, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 FK Sokol Saratov
Original prediction
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.5% | 57.8% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.9% | 24.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.74 | 24.6% | 17.3% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1–0 FK Sokol Saratov
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40