GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/24/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alaniya Vladikavkaz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Alaniya Vladikavkaz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FK Neftekhimik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Alaniya Vladikavkaz hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the First League, while Alaniya Vladikavkaz holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Alaniya Vladikavkaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alaniya VladikavkazDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FK NeftekhimikWLLWW

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Alaniya VladikavkazFK Neftekhimik
41.2Attack16.7
58.8Defence44.4
48.0Form33.3
51.3Power35.1
1.41xG0.70
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