Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zulfi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Zulfi 0-0 Hajer
Original prediction
Al Zulfi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.3% | 46.6% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.2% | 26.0% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Al Zulfi
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Al Zulfi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al ZulfiDDWLD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HajerDWLWL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al ZulfiHajer
33.3Attack44.4
88.9Defence33.3
55.6Form44.4
60.9Power43.8
1.48xG0.95