Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ula · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Zulfi 1-1 Al Ula
Original prediction
Al Ula
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.13 | 22.0% | 26.9% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 27.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.8% | 45.2% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Al Ula
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Al Ula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al ZulfiWWDDD
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al UlaWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al ZulfiAl Ula
42.9Attack83.3
95.2Defence88.9
61.9Form100.0
66.4Power90.9
0.90xG1.24