Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zulfi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Zulfi 0-0 Al-Raed, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Zulfi 4-0 Al-Raed
Original prediction
Al Zulfi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.4% | 38.1% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.8% | 29.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.8% | 32.1% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Projected Score
Al Zulfi 0–0 Al-Raed
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al Zulfi
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Al Zulfi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al ZulfiDDDDW
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al-RaedDWLLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al ZulfiAl-Raed
20.0Attack46.7
93.3Defence60.0
46.7Form46.7
55.4Power51.9
1.00xG0.91