Al Zawra'avs
Zakho
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zawra'a · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Zawra'a 4-0 Zakho
Original prediction
Al Zawra'a
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.3% | 40.6% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.9% | 28.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.8% | 31.0% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Zawra'a
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Al Zawra'a has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00