Al Zawra'avs
Gharraf
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zawra'a · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Zawra'a 1-0 Gharraf, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Zawra'a 2-0 Gharraf
Original prediction
Al Zawra'a
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.1% | 67.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.1% | 21.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 7.03 | 12.8% | 11.7% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Al Zawra'a 1–0 Gharraf
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Al Zawra'a
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
Al Zawra'a has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al Zawra'aWWDWW
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GharrafLLDLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al Zawra'aGharraf
61.9Attack19.0
85.7Defence52.4
71.4Form23.8
72.1Power34.9
1.89xG0.44