Al Zawra'avs
Al Kahrabaa
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zawra'a · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Zawra'a 1-0 Al Kahrabaa, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Zawra'a 1-0 Al Kahrabaa
Original prediction
Al Zawra'a
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.5% | 58.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 24.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.46 | 16.5% | 17.4% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
Al Zawra'a 1–0 Al Kahrabaa
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al Zawra'a
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Al Zawra'a has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al Zawra'aDWWDD
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al KahrabaaDDDDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Al Zawra'aAl Kahrabaa
73.3Attack26.7
80.0Defence60.0
60.0Form26.7
68.4Power40.7
1.68xG0.60