Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Wihdat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Wihdat 0-1 Al Ramtha
Original prediction
Al Wihdat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.7% | 41.9% | -20.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.4% | 28.4% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 6.43 | 14.0% | 29.6% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Al Wihdat
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Al Wihdat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al WihdatDDDDW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al RamthaWDWLW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al WihdatAl Ramtha
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power64.8
1.03xG1.02