GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/4/2026, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Wasl FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Wasl FC 5-2 Khorfakkan

Original prediction

Al-Wasl FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2870.9%61.7%-9.2 pts
Draw5.2517.3%20.5%3.2 pts
Away7.7011.8%17.7%5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.2–09%
  3. 3.3–19%

Predicted outcome

Al-Wasl FC

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

Al-Wasl FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Wasl FCLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KhorfakkanWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Wasl FCKhorfakkan
88.9Attack33.3
77.8Defence22.2
66.7Form33.3
74.0Power32.2
2.69xG1.03
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