Al-Wasl FCvs
Al-Ittihad Kalba
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · 10/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Wasl FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Wasl FC 2-2 Al-Ittihad Kalba
Original prediction
Al-Wasl FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.0% | 45.0% | -19.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.1% | 26.4% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 6.02 | 15.0% | 28.6% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Al-Wasl FC
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Al-Wasl FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20