Al-Wasl FCvs
Al-Ittihad Kalba
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/2/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Wasl FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Wasl FC 4-0 Al-Ittihad Kalba
Original prediction
Al-Wasl FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.3% | 47.0% | -22.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.18 | 17.4% | 24.1% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 6.80 | 13.3% | 28.9% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al-Wasl FC
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Al-Wasl FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40