Al-Wasl FCvs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Wasl FC 1-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Original prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 27.4% | 33.4% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.4% | 26.9% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 48.2% | 39.8% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40