Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Al Wakrah are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Navbahor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Navbahor hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Navbahor holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80