Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Wakrah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al Wakrah are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al Shamal are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Wakrah hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.6% in the Stars League, while Al Wakrah holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Wakrah
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
Al Wakrah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00