Al Wakrahvs
Al-Sailiya
COMPLETEDQatar · QSL Cup · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Wakrah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Wakrah 1-0 Al-Sailiya
Original prediction
Al Wakrah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.5% | 41.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 23.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.4% | 34.4% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Wakrah
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Al Wakrah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al WakrahDLLDL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-SailiyaLLLLL
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al WakrahAl-Sailiya
53.3Attack51.5
26.7Defence39.4
40.0Form54.5
39.7Power50.0
2.02xG1.85