GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 10/19/2026, 1:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Wahda U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Wahda U23 2-0 Khorfakkan U23

Original prediction

Al Wahda U23

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2969.4%61.1%-8.4 pts
Draw4.7918.7%20.8%2.1 pts
Away7.5411.9%18.2%6.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.2–09%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

Al Wahda U23

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Al Wahda U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Wahda U23DWWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Khorfakkan U23WLDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al Wahda U23Khorfakkan U23
73.3Attack20.0
46.7Defence46.7
66.7Form26.7
64.6Power34.0
2.34xG1.06
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