GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/7/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Wahda FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Al Nasr are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Wahda FCDLLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al NasrDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al Wahda FCAl Nasr
66.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.73xG1.75
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