GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/27/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Wahda FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Wahda FCLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaWWLDL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al Wahda FCAl-Ittihad Kalba
66.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.73xG1.75
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