Al Wahda FCvs
Al-Dhafra
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/9/2026, 1:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Wahda FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Wahda FC 2-0 Al-Dhafra
Original prediction
Al Wahda FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.4% | 45.8% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.5% | 25.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.1% | 29.1% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Wahda FC
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Al Wahda FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80