Al Waabvs
Lusail City
COMPLETEDQatar · QSL Cup · 9/29/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lusail City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Waab 1-1 Lusail City
Original prediction
Lusail City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 27.0% | 35.7% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 27.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.9% | 36.7% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Lusail City
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Lusail City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80