GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 10/24/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Waab · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Waab are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Lusail City are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Waab hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Second Division, while Al Waab holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Waab

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Al Waab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al WaabLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Lusail CityDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Al WaabLusail City
38.5Attack38.5
41.0Defence41.0
33.3Form15.4
40.3Power34.8
1.50xG1.22
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