GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/18/2026, 2:40:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Urooba · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Urooba 1-3 Emirates Club

Original prediction

Al Urooba

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8249.0%47.0%-2.1 pts
Draw3.3326.8%27.0%0.2 pts
Away3.6924.2%26.0%1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Al Urooba

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Al Urooba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al UroobaDWDDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Emirates ClubLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al UroobaEmirates Club
41.7Attack33.3
75.0Defence58.3
50.0Form25.0
57.4Power40.3
1.48xG0.93
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