GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · 9/22/2026, 2:40:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Urooba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Urooba 1-0 Dubai City

Original prediction

Al Urooba

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5259.2%43.5%-15.7 pts
Draw3.8623.4%27.3%3.9 pts
Away5.2017.4%29.2%11.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Al Urooba

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Al Urooba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al UroobaLDWDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Dubai CityLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al UroobaDubai City
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24
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