Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Al Urooba are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Al Nasr are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (25.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40