GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Urooba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Urooba 2-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra

Original prediction

Al Urooba

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4263.1%51.8%-11.4 pts
Draw4.2021.4%24.7%3.3 pts
Away5.8015.5%23.6%8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Al Urooba

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Al Urooba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al UroobaDDWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Al Jazira Al HamraDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al UroobaAl Jazira Al Hamra
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence0.0
33.3Form16.7
48.3Power10.7
1.96xG1.13
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