Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Al Urooba are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (25.6 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20