GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 9/14/2026, 4:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Ula · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Ula 3-0 Jeddah Club

Original prediction

Al Ula

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1480.3%52.5%-27.8 pts
Draw6.5813.9%24.5%10.6 pts
Away15.595.9%23.0%17.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-27.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Al Ula

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Al Ula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al UlaWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Jeddah ClubDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al UlaJeddah Club
58.3Attack50.0
91.7Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
86.5Power67.6
1.33xG0.93
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