Al Thaidvs
Dubai City
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 8/28/2026, 3:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Thaid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Thaid 5-1 Dubai City
Original prediction
Al Thaid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 62.8% | 49.3% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.3% | 25.2% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 5.65 | 15.8% | 25.6% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Al Thaid
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Al Thaid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60