Al Thaidvs
Dibba Al-Fujairah
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/11/2026, 2:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Thaid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Thaid 2-0 Dibba Al-Fujairah
Original prediction
Al Thaid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.3% | 39.6% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 25.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.2% | 34.8% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Thaid
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Al Thaid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20