Al Thaidvs
Al Jazira Al Hamra
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Thaid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Thaid 1-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra
Original prediction
Al Thaid
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.3% | 67.2% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.8% | 18.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.73 | 18.9% | 14.5% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Thaid
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
Al Thaid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00