Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Talaba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Talaba 0-0 Naft
Original prediction
Al Talaba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.8% | 39.7% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.2% | 29.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.0% | 31.3% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Talaba
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Al Talaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al TalabaWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
NaftDD
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Al TalabaNaft
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24