Al Talabavs
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 10/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Talaba 0-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Talaba 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.9% | 35.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 32.7% | 30.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.4% | 34.0% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
Al Talaba 0–0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.8%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al TalabaWDDLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al Quwa Al JawiyaDLWDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al TalabaAl Quwa Al Jawiya
36.7Attack46.7
63.3Defence60.0
46.7Form40.0
51.9Power50.5
0.95xG0.93