Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zulfi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Taee 0-0 Al Zulfi
Original prediction
Al Zulfi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.5% | 34.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 27.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.9% | 37.3% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Al Zulfi
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Al Zulfi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al TaeeLWWLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al ZulfiDDDWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al TaeeAl Zulfi
50.0Attack25.0
33.3Defence91.7
50.0Form50.0
47.8Power57.4
1.14xG1.16