Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Taee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Taee 2-1 Al Jandal
Original prediction
Al Taee
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.3% | 44.6% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.8% | 26.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 21.9% | 28.5% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Taee
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Al Taee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al TaeeWLLLW
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al JandalDLWLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Al TaeeAl Jandal
66.7Attack33.3
16.7Defence50.0
50.0Form16.7
47.8Power36.5
1.59xG1.19