GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 9/18/2026, 3:50:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Taee · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Taee 3-1 Al Bukayriyah

Original prediction

Al Taee

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8848.3%47.3%-0.9 pts
Draw3.3627.0%26.8%-0.2 pts
Away3.6624.8%25.9%1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Al Taee

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Al Taee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al TaeeDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al BukayriyahLLLDD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al TaeeAl Bukayriyah
40.0Attack20.0
46.7Defence46.7
46.7Form13.3
47.6Power29.8
1.47xG0.93
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