GGOALVIO

Kuwait · Division 1 · 12/8/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Tadhamon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Al Tadhamon are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Burgan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Tadhamon hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Division 1, while Al Tadhamon holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Tadhamon

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Al Tadhamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al TadhamonWDDWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BurganLLWLD

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al TadhamonBurgan
54.2Attack31.6
66.7Defence52.6
54.2Form29.8
58.6Power40.7
1.74xG0.55
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