GGOALVIO

Kuwait · Division 1 · 11/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Al Tadhamon are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Al Sahel are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Sahel hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Division 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al TadhamonDWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
Al SahelWLDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Al TadhamonAl Sahel
54.2Attack57.9
66.7Defence77.2
54.2Form75.4
58.6Power70.7
0.87xG1.10
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