Al Tadhamonvs
Al Qadsia
COMPLETEDKuwait · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 2:50:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Qadsia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Tadhamon 0-2 Al Qadsia
Original prediction
Al Qadsia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.15 | 9.8% | 20.9% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.4% | 23.4% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 71.8% | 55.7% | -16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Al Qadsia
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Al Qadsia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80