Al Tadhamonvs
Al Kuwait
COMPLETEDKuwait · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 4:50:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kuwait · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Tadhamon 2-6 Al Kuwait
Original prediction
Al Kuwait
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20.48 | 4.5% | 12.2% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 8.64 | 10.5% | 16.4% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.07 | 85.0% | 71.5% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Al Kuwait
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Al Kuwait has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00