GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Two · 10/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Taawon 2-1 Al-Rayyan SC

Original prediction

Al-Rayyan SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6034.9%35.6%0.7 pts
Draw3.5125.8%27.1%1.3 pts
Away2.3139.2%37.3%-1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Al-Rayyan SC

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al TaawonLDLLD

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Rayyan SCWDDWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al TaawonAl-Rayyan SC
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence0.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power72.0
1.51xG1.55
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