Al Taawonvs
Al-Qadisiyah FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/20/2026, 3:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (14%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Taawon 0-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC
Original prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.87 | 15.7% | 8.5% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 19.7% | 13.9% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 64.7% | 77.6% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–314%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
77.6%
Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20