Al Taawonvs
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/12/2026, 3:50:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Taawon 0-6 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Original prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.35 | 9.9% | 17.0% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.81 | 15.9% | 22.1% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 1.24 | 74.3% | 60.9% | -13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60